Brady leads Rodgers and rest of field on NFL MVP Award odds
Despite all his success and consistency, Tom Brady’s most recent NFL MVP Award came back in 2010. However, the New England Patriots quarterback is listed as the betting favorite at +400 to take home the prestigious NFL hardware in 2017.
Despite missing the first month of the 2016 season due to his Deflategate suspension, Brady tossed 28 touchdown passes – tied for seventh among NFL quarterbacks – with only two interceptions last year.
Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers – who owns the second-best odds to win the NFL MVP Award this year at +500 – hasn’t thrown more than eight interceptions in any one season over the past six years, and his stats are comparable to Brady during that stretch:
Tom Brady: 92 G | 63.9 Comp% | 291.7 PYPG | 195 TD | 29 INT
Aaron Rodgers: 88 G | 65.5 Comp% | 273.9 PYPG | 210 TD | 40 INT
Rodgers has won the NFL MVP twice (2011, 2014) since Brady last claimed the award.
Over the past 10 seasons, all but one NFL MVP Award winner has been a quarterback – running back Adrian Peterson of the Minnesota Vikings back in 2012 was the exception.. All Peterson did that season was finish nine yards shy of breaking Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record of 2,105 yards.
The Pittsburgh Steelers’ Le’Veon Bell – who held out of training camp before he inked a one-year deal – has the best NFL MVP odds among running backs for this season at +1600. As tempting as it might sound to invest in a motivated Bell as he attempts to peak in a contract year, keep in mind his recent injury history (knee, groin, core).
Plus, if Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger misses any games due to injury – which at 35 years old is possible – opposing defenses will load up to stop Bell and make Landry Jones beat them.
As was the case in 2014 when he earned 13 MVP votes, J.J. Watt (+6600) of the Houston Texans has history working against him as no defensive player has won NFL MVP honors since Lawrence Taylor in 1986. Watt will be looking to return from injury (back) and pick up where he left off this year – he averaged better than 17 sacks per season from 2012-2015.
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