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Patriots, Packers, Cowboys favorites in top Week 1 NFL matchups

The New England Patriots haven’t met the Kansas City Chiefs during the regular season since 2011. That’ll change on Thursday night when the defending Super Bowl champions welcome Kansas City to Foxborough in the league’s regular season kickoff event, with New England set as a 9-point favorite.

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The Patriots and Chiefs last met in the 2015 playoffs when New England covered a six-point spread 27-20. Dating back to 2012, the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS as underdogs when receiving nine or more points. The Patriots are 7-3 in their last 10 games where they were favored by nine or more points.

Both defenses allowed fewer than 20 points per game last season and the OVER/UNDER for this contest is set at 49 points.

Elsewhere, the Seattle Seahawks and the Green Bay Packers have become one of the great NFL rivalries in recent years due to their playoff prowess. Seattle is 3-0 in its past three games as a road dog where the point spread ranged between 1.5 to 7.5 points. Green Bay is 3-1 in its past four games as a home favorite; the average point spread was seven points in those matchups.

The teams meet on Sunday afternoon, with Green Bay listed as a 3-point home favorite and the OVER/UNDER set at 50.5 points. The last 10 results between the teams on the totals look like this (most recent first, home team in parentheses):

U  (GB)

O  (SEA)

U  (SEA)

O  (GB)

U  (SEA)

O  (SEA)

U  (GB)

O  (GB)

U  (GB)

 

The Packers pass defense ranked 31st last season when it allowed 269 pass yards per game and 32 touchdowns, so look for Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson to air it out on Sunday. The Seahawks’ secondary only allowed 16 passing touchdowns last season, third fewest in the NFL.

And although his six-game suspension was upheld for the moment, Ezekiel Elliott will be active for the Dallas Cowboys – the 3.5-point home favorite – against the New York Giants on Sunday night. Despite a preseason ankle injury that has held him out of practice this week, Odell Beckham Jr. still has a good shot to suit up as well for New York.

The last time the Giants received fewer than four points at Dallas was in 2013 (+3.5). It was a dog bet they failed to cover, losing by five. New York was 8-6-2 ATS in 2016, while the Cowboys started 9-0-1 ATS before regressing to 1-5 ATS over the final six weeks of the regular season.

The Cowboys averaged 26 points per game in 2016, but in their two meetings with the Giants were held to 13 points per game. In their second meeting, a 10-7 New York win at home, both teams finished with 260 total yards of offense, three turnovers, and were atrocious on third down DAL: 1-15 | NYG: 2-14. The listed OVER/UNDER is 47.5.